Disaster Simulation & Earth Intelligence

TerraSense

City-scale disaster simulations built on historical event data and real physics. Free, open, and built for everyone — from classrooms to emergency operations centers. Phase 2 target: live NOAA / USGS integration.

TRL 3–4 · 7 Live Simulations · Phase 1 Proof of Concept
7
Live simulations
400+
Behavioral agents
7 Types
Fire · Flood · Quake · Hurricane · Coral · Cascadia · Dust
Free
Always & forever
ARA Simulation Library

Seven live scenarios.
Real data.

Every simulation reconstructed from documented disaster records — USGS, NWS, NHC, CAL FIRE, CGS, NOAA Coral Reef Watch, AIMS, FEMA HAZUS, USACE, PNSN, Utah DEQ. Not a live system. Phase 2: real-time data integration.

Live in ARA
■ Historical · August Complex 2020 · CAL FIRE
🔥

California
Wildfire

128 agents — civilians, CAL FIRE crews, air attack, EMS — each making behavioral decisions under wind, slope, and fuel conditions modeled from the August Complex fire record. Largest wildfire in California history. 1,032,648 acres.

128
Agents
5 ICS Crews
CAL FIRE
2020
Historical
Live in ARA
■ Probabilistic Scenario · USGS · PNSN · FEMA
🌊

Cascadia M9
Subduction Rupture

The Pacific Northwest's overdue megaquake. 1,000 km fault. 4–6 minutes of violent shaking. Tsunami in 15 minutes. FEMA projects 13,000+ dead — the deadliest natural disaster in American history. Last rupture: January 26, 1700.

M 9.0
Magnitude
USGS
ShakeMap
13,000+
FEMA projected
Live in ARA
■ Ongoing Crisis · Great Salt Lake · Utah DEQ · USU Research 2026
🌬️

Great Salt Lake
Toxic Dust Crisis

800 square miles of exposed lakebed — loaded with arsenic, lead, mercury, cadmium, and uranium. Wind events drive toxic dust east into the Wasatch Valley where 1.2 million people live. A 2026 USU study found arsenic and uranium in leafy crops even after washing. The lake needs 10 more feet of water. That could take decades. The dust is already here.

800 mi²
Exposed lakebed
7 Metals
Arsenic · Lead · Mercury
1.2M
At risk
Live in ARA
■ Historical · March 2026 · NWS HFO · USGS Stream Gauges
🌊

Oahu Kona Low
Flash Flood

Two back-to-back Kona Low systems devastated Oahu's North Shore — worst flooding in 20 years. 5,500 evacuated, 236 rescued, Wahiawa Dam overtop threat. Reconstructed from NWS HFO advisories and USGS stream gauge records. Includes the T-6hr early warning panel.

NWS HFO
Data source
T-6hr Panel
Warning system
236 Rescued
Historical
Live in ARA
■ Historical · Hurricane Katrina 2005 · NHC Best Track
🌀

New Orleans
Hurricane Katrina

Category 5 at peak. 175 mph. 53 levee breaches flooded 80% of New Orleans. 1,833 dead, 400,000 displaced, $125B damage. Reconstructed from NHC Best Track AL122005, USACE levee survey, and FEMA surge zone data.

Cat 5
Peak intensity
NHC Track
AL122005
53 Breaches
USACE data
Live in ARA
■ Probabilistic · San Andreas Fault · USGS ShakeMap · CGS
🏙️

San Francisco
M7.9 Earthquake

The San Andreas Fault runs beneath 7.7 million people. This simulation models a repeat of the 1906 rupture — 430 km of fault, MMI X shaking, liquefaction in Marina and SoMa from CGS hazard maps, 8 ICS crews and 100 civilian agents.

M7.9
Magnitude
USGS ShakeMap
Ground motion
108 Agents
ICS + Civilian
Live in ARA
■ Historical · Great Barrier Reef · NOAA CRW · AIMS Data
🦐

Great Barrier Reef
Mass Bleaching

Seven mass bleaching events since 1998 — six since 2016. In 2024, 91% of surveyed reefs bleached in the most severe event on record. Watch reef colors drain from coral red to white to grey as SST anomalies accumulate. 344,400 km². NOAA Coral Reef Watch data.

7 Events
Since 1998
NOAA CRW
SST Data
91%
2024 peak
The TerraSense Mission

No one left
without warning.

"TerraSense exists to pioneer earth intelligence — making disaster preparedness universally accessible, advancing environmental science literacy, and building the world's most accurate public simulation — for everyone, simultaneously, with no one left behind."

01
Education before revenue.
Monetization exists to sustain the mission. The mission does not exist to sustain the business.
02
No audience is secondary.
There is one version of the truth. Everyone gets it. No second-class users.
03
Accuracy is non-negotiable.
We will say we don't know yet before we say something inaccurate.
04
Awe is the mechanism.
Awe is how knowledge becomes motivation. Motivation is how people prepare.

Where ARA is going.

Current TRL: 3–4 · 7 Live · Target: Operational Predictive Infrastructure
✓ Live
California Wildfire — August Complex 2020
128 behavioral agents · CAL FIRE protocols · USGS terrain · LANDFIRE fuel models
✓ Live
Cascadia M9 — Pacific Northwest
USGS ShakeMap · PNSN · NOAA tsunami · FEMA HAZUS · 13,000+ projected dead
✓ Live
Great Salt Lake — Toxic Dust Crisis
Utah DEQ air quality · USU/U of U 2026 research · Real OpenTopoMap terrain tiles · AQI PM2.5 live · 120 agents
✓ Live
Oahu Kona Low — Flash Flood & Landslide
NWS HFO historical data · USGS stream gauges · T-6hr early warning panel
✓ Live
Hurricane Katrina — New Orleans 2005
NHC Best Track AL122005 · USACE levee breach sequence · FEMA surge zones · 1,833 dead
✓ Live
San Francisco M7.9 Earthquake Scenario
USGS ShakeMap MMI · CGS liquefaction zones · HAZUS-MH loss model · 108 agents
✓ Live
Great Barrier Reef — Mass Bleaching
NOAA Coral Reef Watch SST · AIMS LTMP surveys · 7 bleaching events 1998–2025
→ Phase 2
Live NOAA / USGS / NWS / Utah DEQ Integration
Real-time stream gauges, NWS alerts, NHC tracks, air quality sensors · Reconstruction becomes live prediction
→ Phase 2
500K+ Agent Scaling via WebGL GPU
City-scale behavioral simulation · AnyLogic-class fidelity in the browser, free
◦ Phase 3
Supply Chain Cascade Modeling
Multi-hazard cascade — the Hormuz Crisis showed why disaster doesn't stop at the shoreline
◦ Phase 3
FEMA / NOAA Operational API
ARA as federal infrastructure · Direct integration with national early warning systems

The Iulia Foundation

Free Global Access · Forever

A nonprofit under the TerraSense brand universe ensuring that ARA remains free and accessible to every human on earth — with no filter on who deserves warning. Education is not a product. It is a right.

Contact the Foundation